Retention and LTV: customer value over time

Acquiring a new customer costs five to seven times more than retaining an existing one. In businesses where LTV justifies the cost of acquisition, retention is where the real business is made.

Many digital businesses have their budget and attention concentrated on acquisition. Retention takes a back seat, managed with periodic newsletters and reactivation discounts when a customer has not purchased in a while.

That model works until acquisition costs rise and the margin on the first purchase no longer covers that cost. At that point, the business is only profitable if the customer buys more than once. And for that to happen predictably, retention has to run as an ongoing part of the operation, built in from day one rather than triggered as a one-off action.

LTV is not a metric that optimizes itself. It depends on purchase frequency, average order value, and how long the customer remains active. Those three variables can be worked on through personalized communication, relevant offers at the right moment, and a post-purchase experience that gives customers reasons to return.

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What we do

LTV modeling and value-based segmentation

We calculate LTV by customer segment from historical purchase data. That segmentation defines where to concentrate retention efforts: high-value customers require different treatment from low-value customers with growth potential.

Communication strategy for retention

We design post-purchase communication flows: new customer onboarding, reactivation communications, loyalty programs, abandoned cart recovery. Each flow has a concrete objective and is measured in terms of impact on purchase frequency and average order value.

Loyalty programs

We design and implement loyalty programs connected to the sales channel. A points program that is not integrated with the ecommerce and the marketplaces loses part of its effectiveness because it does not recognize all of the customer's purchases.

Inactive customer reactivation

Customers who purchased once and have not returned are the segment with the greatest short-term potential. We design reactivation campaigns segmented by time since last purchase, last product bought, and the customer's historical value.

Frequently asked questions

Basic LTV is calculated by multiplying the average order value by the annual purchase frequency and the number of years the customer remains active. A more precise LTV discounts the cost of serving the customer and the cost of retention communications. LTV by segment is more useful than average LTV because it allows retention efforts to be prioritized.

When the cost of acquiring a new customer is significantly higher than the cost of retaining an existing one, and when the customer's LTV justifies that acquisition investment. In general, businesses with high purchase frequency and high LTV benefit more from retention than those with a single purchase or very low frequency.

It depends heavily on the category. In food or fast-moving consumer goods, a retention rate of 30% to 40% is reasonable. In fashion, 20% to 30%. In electronics or occasional-purchase products, it may be below 20%. What matters is not just the rate but whether it is improving or declining over time.

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